Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 5
Castellonense3–0Real Murcia II
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Castellonense vs Real Murcia II: match review and analysis
Castellonense vs Real Murcia II in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Castellonense recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Real Murcia II recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Castellonense | Real Murcia II |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Castellonense: (1.31 weighted goals scored + 1.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Real Murcia II: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.15 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Castellonense recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorca DeportivaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CiezaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PoblenseSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ucam MurciaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| AtzenetaTercera División RFEF - Group 6 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Hércules IITercera División RFEF - Group 6 | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| SaguntinoTercera División RFEF - Group 6 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ontinyent 1931Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Villarreal IIITercera División RFEF - Group 6 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| La NucíaTercera División RFEF - Group 6 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Castellonense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Real Murcia II recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peña DeportivaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mallorca IISegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| La NucíaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| OrihuelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 3 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PamplonaTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PamplonaTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Real Murcia II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Castellonense are ranked 3 in Group 3, with 12 points from 5 games.
Real Murcia II are ranked 17 in Group 3, with 3 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Castellón II | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | La Nucía | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Castellonense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Alcoyano | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ucam Murcia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Intercity | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 9 |
| 7 | Cieza | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| 8 | Deportiva Minera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Yeclano | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Orihuela | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 11 | Lorca Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 | Mallorca II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Atlético Baleares | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | Valencia II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Elche II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Poblense | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Real Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Peña Deportiva | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.