Premier League · Regular Season - 5
CavaliervsMontego Bay United
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Cavalier vs Montego Bay United: match review and analysis
Cavalier vs Montego Bay United in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Cavalier recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Montego Bay United recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cavalier | Montego Bay United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cavalier: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.01 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.06 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Montego Bay United: (1.09 weighted goals scored + 1.15 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cavalier recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arnett GardensPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DunbeholdenPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Portmore UnitedCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SalcedoCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CibaoCONCACAF Caribbean Club Championship | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Portmore UnitedPremier League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Montego Bay UnitedPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Montego Bay UnitedPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cavalier’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Montego Bay United recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DunbeholdenPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Racing UnitedPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tru-JuicePremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ChapeltonPremier League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CavalierPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CavalierPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mount Pleasant AcademyPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Treasure BeachPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Harbour ViewPremier League | Away | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Montego Bay United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Montego Bay United are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 10 points from 4 games.
Cavalier are ranked 6 in Premier League, with 7 points from 3 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Waterhouse | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 13 | 10 |
| 2 | Montego Bay United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Racing United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Tivoli Gardens | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Tru-Juice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cavalier | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Portmore United | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | Arnett Gardens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Mount Pleasant Academy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Chapelton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 11 | Molynes United | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Treasure Beach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Humble Lions | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 | Dunbeholden | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.