Primera División · Clausura - 10
Central EspanolvsClub Nacional
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Parque Palermo
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Central Espanol vs Club Nacional: match review and analysis
Central Espanol vs Club Nacional in Primera División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Central Espanol recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 17. Club Nacional recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 16 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Central Espanol | Club Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 7 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 5 | 0 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Central Espanol: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 0.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.86 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Club Nacional: (1.70 weighted goals scored + 1.84 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.77 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Central Espanol recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico TorquePrimera División | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| OrientalCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cerro LargoPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Racing MontevideoCopa Uruguay | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Defensor SportingPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventudCopa Uruguay | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| WanderersPrimera División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| JuventudPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Central Espanol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Club Nacional recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico TorquePrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Cerro LargoPrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Defensor SportingPrimera División | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| ProgresoCopa Uruguay | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| WanderersPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventudPrimera División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CA River PlateCopa Uruguay | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| PenarolPrimera División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Albion FCCopa Uruguay | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ProgresoPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Club Nacional’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Club Nacional are ranked 5 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 52 points from 31 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 8 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 38 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 62 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53 | 37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 10 | Juventud | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 33 |
| 13 | Cerro | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 33 |
| 14 | Boston River | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Danubio | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 29 |
| 16 | Progreso | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 28 |
Club Nacional are ranked 2 in Primera: Promedios, with 131 points from 68 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 10 in Primera: Promedios, with 38 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 68 | 43 | 12 | 13 | 116 | 59 | 57 | 141 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 68 | 40 | 14 | 14 | 123 | 71 | 52 | 131 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 58 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 68 | 31 | 21 | 16 | 93 | 67 | 26 | 114 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 68 | 28 | 22 | 18 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 69 | 30 | 16 | 23 | 107 | 88 | 19 | 106 |
| 7 | Juventud | 68 | 27 | 17 | 24 | 80 | 78 | 2 | 98 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 68 | 26 | 18 | 24 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 96 |
| 9 | Boston River | 68 | 22 | 20 | 26 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 86 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 68 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 82 |
| 12 | Wanderers | 68 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 65 | 83 | -18 | 81 |
| 13 | Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 68 | 21 | 17 | 30 | 56 | 87 | -31 | 79 |
| 15 | Danubio | 69 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 67 | 82 | -15 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 68 | 18 | 13 | 37 | 65 | 106 | -41 | 67 |
Club Nacional are ranked 2 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 13 points from 7 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 5 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
Central Espanol are ranked 5 in Primera: Apertura, with 24 points from 15 games.
Club Nacional are ranked 7 in Primera: Apertura, with 22 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
Club Nacional are ranked 5 in Primera: Clausura, with 17 points from 9 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 15 in Primera: Clausura, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Torque | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 22 |
| 2 | Liverpool Montevideo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
| 3 | Penarol | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Cerro | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Espanol | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.