Premier League · Regular Season - 7
Central StallionsvsDeren
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
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Real Scored match analysis
Central Stallions vs Deren: match review and analysis
Central Stallions vs Deren in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Central Stallions recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 33 and conceding 13. Deren recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 28 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Central Stallions | Deren |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 33 | 28 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Central Stallions: (3.91 weighted goals scored + 1.19 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.55 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Deren: (3.25 weighted goals scored + 1.51 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Central Stallions recent form
3.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khovd WesternPremier League | Home | 8–4 | Won | |
| ErchimPremier League | Away | 4–1 | Won | |
| Ulaangom CityPremier League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| KhovdPremier League | Away | 6–0 | Won | |
| HuntersPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Amtat FCPremier League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tainan CityAFC Challenge League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| KhangaridPremier League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| DerenPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Central Stallions’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Deren recent form
2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KhovdPremier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Khovd WesternPremier League | Away | 5–1 | Won | |
| Amtat FCPremier League | Home | 5–2 | Won | |
| Ulaangom CityPremier League | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HuntersPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Central StallionsPremier League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| KhangaridPremier League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| UlaanbaatarPremier League | Home | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Deren’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2027 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Central Stallions are ranked 1 in Premier League, with 18 points from 6 games.
Deren are ranked 2 in Premier League, with 14 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 21 | 18 |
| 2 | Deren | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 | Ulaanbaatar | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 23 | 13 |
| 4 | Khovd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Hunters | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Erchim | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 6 |
| 7 | Khovd Western | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 3 |
| 8 | Amtat FC | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 3 |
| 9 | Ulaangom City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 26 | -22 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.