Emperor Cup · Round of 32
Cerezo Osaka2–0Kagoshima United
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
Match Finished
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Emperor Cup
- Venue
- Yodoko Sakura Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–0
- 90-minute score
- 2–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United: match review and analysis
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United in Emperor Cup on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Cerezo Osaka recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 14. Kagoshima United recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses, with 21 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cerezo Osaka | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cerezo Osaka: (1.26 weighted goals scored + 1.18 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kagoshima United: (2.18 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cerezo Osaka recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fujieda MYFCJ-League Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| V-varen NagasakiJ1 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sanfrecce HiroshimaJ1 League | Away | 1–6 | Lost | |
| Tokyo VerdyJ1 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Kashiwa ReysolJ1 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Vissel KobeJ1 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC GifuEmperor Cup | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Shimizu S-pulseJ1 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Avispa FukuokaJ1 League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Fagiano OkayamaJ1 League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cerezo Osaka’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kagoshima United recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukushima UnitedJ3 League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| KitakyushuJ3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tochigi SCJ3 League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Biwako ShigaJ3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC RyukyuJ3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Consadole SapporoJ-League Cup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kamatamare SanukiJ3 League | Away | 4–3 | Won | |
| Albirex NiigataEmperor Cup | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| FC GifuJ3 League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Renofa YamaguchiEmperor Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kagoshima United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Emperor Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.