Copa Paraguay · Quarter-finals
Cerro PortenovsClub Sp. San Lorenzo
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Paraguay
- Venue
- Estadio Defensores del Chaco
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo: match review and analysis
Cerro Porteno vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo in Copa Paraguay on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Cerro Porteno recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Club Sp. San Lorenzo recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses, with 6 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cerro Porteno | Club Sp. San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 6 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cerro Porteno: (1.35 weighted goals scored + 1.43 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Club Sp. San Lorenzo: (0.66 weighted goals scored + 0.87 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cerro Porteno recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Rubio NUCopa Paraguay | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nacional AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ResistenciaCopa Paraguay | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cerro Porteno’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Club Sp. San Lorenzo recent form
0.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo RecoletaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| 4 de MayoCopa Paraguay | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Nacional AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Libertad AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Club Sp. San Lorenzo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Paraguay — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.