Liga MX · Apertura - 11
CF PachucavsNecaxa
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga MX
- Venue
- Estadio Hidalgo
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa: match review and analysis
CF Pachuca vs Necaxa in Liga MX on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
CF Pachuca recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 14 and conceding 13. Necaxa recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 10 scored and 21 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CF Pachuca | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 14 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CF Pachuca: (1.46 weighted goals scored + 2.14 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.80 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Necaxa: (1.04 weighted goals scored + 1.28 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CF Pachuca recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos LagunaLiga MX | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Club TijuanaLiga MX | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atlante FCLiga MX | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| FC JuarezLiga MX | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico San LuisLiga MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PueblaLiga MX | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| CharlotteLeagues Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Columbus CrewLeagues Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC CincinnatiLeagues Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from CF Pachuca’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Necaxa recent form
1.00 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club AmericaLiga MX | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Atletico San LuisLiga MX | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PueblaLiga MX | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tigres UANLLiga MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cruz AzulLiga MX | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LeonLiga MX | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| New York City FCLeagues Cup | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Philadelphia UnionLeagues Cup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chicago FireLeagues Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Necaxa’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga MX — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CF Pachuca are ranked 11 in Liga MX: Apertura, with 12 points from 10 games.
Necaxa are ranked 17 in Liga MX: Apertura, with 8 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Club Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.