League Two · Relegation Group - 25
Changchun Xidu1–1Guangzhou Dandelion
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League Two
- Venue
- Changchun Yatai Football Jingyue Training Base
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 2′
- 63′Xu HongNormal GoalGuangzhou Dandelion
Cards
- 20′Liang HuanYellow CardChangchun XiduFoul
- 30′Huang WenzhuoYellow CardChangchun XiduFoul
- 68′H. WangYellow CardChangchun XiduFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Changchun Xidu vs Guangzhou Dandelion: match review and analysis
Changchun Xidu vs Guangzhou Dandelion in League Two on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Changchun Xidu recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 11. Guangzhou Dandelion recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Changchun Xidu | Guangzhou Dandelion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Changchun Xidu: (0.98 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guangzhou Dandelion: (0.79 weighted goals scored + 1.06 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Changchun Xidu recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangdong MingtuLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Hubei Chufeng HeliLeague Two | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dalian KeweiLeague Two | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BITLeague Two | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Xi'an RonghaiLeague Two | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dalian Yingbo BLeague Two | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Shanghai SecondLeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shandong Taishan IILeague Two | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Shanghai Port IILeague Two | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Tai'an TiankuangLeague Two | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Changchun Xidu’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guangzhou Dandelion recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Yingbo BLeague Two | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Rizhao YuqiLeague Two | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guizhou ZhuchengLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shangyu PterosaurLeague Two | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Xiamen FeiluLeague Two | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Wuhan Three Towns IILeague Two | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Yichun Grand TigerLeague Two | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shenzhen 2028League Two | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Langfang Glory CityLeague Two | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Guangdong MingtuLeague Two | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Guangzhou Dandelion’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League Two — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.