League One · Regular Season - 25
Changchun Yatai1–1Yanbian Longding
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Development Area Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 13′GiovannyNormal GoalYanbian Longding
- 82′
Cards
- 35′F. BrownYellow CardYanbian LongdingFoul
- 55′Cui TaixuYellow CardYanbian LongdingFoul
- 74′Cui TaixuYellow CardYanbian LongdingFoul
- 74′Cui TaixuRed CardYanbian LongdingFoul
- 88′Sun XipengYellow CardChangchun YataiFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Yanbian Longding
Coach: Ki-Hyung Lee
Starting XI
- 21Kou Jiahao
- 14Cui Taixu
- 15Xu Jizu
- 4V. Nunez
- 19Duan Dezhi
- 20Jin Taiyan
- 17Piao Shihao
- 6Li Ximin
- 37Giovanny
- 10F. Brown
- 30Huang Zhenfei
Substitutes
Changchun Yatai
Starting XI
- 23Wu Yake
- 41Wu Junjie
- 4Wang Weipu
- 27C. Reiner
- 37Zhou Dadi
- 16Tudi Dilyimit
- 6Li Qiang
- 25Chen Xuhuang
- 17Muhamet
- 9O. Omoijuanfo
- 7J. Salazar
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding: match review and analysis
Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding in League One on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Changchun Yatai recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 13. Yanbian Longding recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Changchun Yatai | Yanbian Longding |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Changchun Yatai: (1.64 weighted goals scored + 1.75 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Yanbian Longding: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.12 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Changchun Yatai recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nantong ZhiyunLeague One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shenzhen JuniorsLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Heilongjiang Lava SpringLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Guangzhou E-PowerLeague One | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Dongguan UnitedLeague One | Home | 6–0 | Won | |
| Shaanxi UnionLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Suzhou DongwuLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Hebei KungfuLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Nanjing CityLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Changchun Yatai’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Yanbian Longding recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou E-PowerLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Guangxi HengchenLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Wuxi WugouLeague One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Shaanxi UnionLeague One | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Dalian HuayiLeague One | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Shenzhen JuniorsLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nanjing CityLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Meizhou KejiaLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hebei KungfuLeague One | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Yanbian Longding’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Yanbian Longding are ranked 6 in League One, with 36 points from 25 games.
Changchun Yatai are ranked 9 in League One, with 30 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 31 | 57 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Hebei Kungfu | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian Huayi | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 16 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 16 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.