Thai League 2 · Regular Season - 6
ChanthaburivsNakhon Pathom
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Thai League 2
- Venue
- Chanthaburi Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom: match review and analysis
Chanthaburi vs Nakhon Pathom in Thai League 2 on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Chanthaburi recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 11. Nakhon Pathom recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 11 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chanthaburi | Nakhon Pathom |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chanthaburi: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.76 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nakhon Pathom: (0.95 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chanthaburi recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UttaraditThai League 2 | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Khon Kaen UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Police TeroThai League 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| PattaniThai League 2 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SongkhlaThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Nakhon Si ThammaratThai League 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sisaket UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chanthaburi’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nakhon Pathom recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muangthong UnitedThai League 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Kasetsart FCThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| KanchanaburiThai League 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Phrae UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Nakhon Ratchasima FCThai League 2 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Phrae UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| BangkokThai League 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Mahasarakham UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Nong Bua PitchayaThai League 2 | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Khon Kaen UnitedThai League 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nakhon Pathom’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Thai League 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nakhon Pathom are ranked 10 in Thai Division 1, with 7 points from 5 games.
Chanthaburi are ranked 14 in Thai Division 1, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uttaradit | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 2 | Chainat | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Phrae United | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | Satun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Chiangmai United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | Khon Kaen United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Kanchanaburi | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Muang Loei United | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 9 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Nakhon Pathom | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Police Tero | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Muangthong United | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Songkhla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 | Esan Pattaya | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham United | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 | Kasetsart FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.