Serie A · Regular Season - 30
Results
Chapecoense-scvsAtletico Paranaense
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 12 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie A
- Venue
- Arena Condá
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense: match review and analysis
Chapecoense-sc vs Atletico Paranaense in Serie A on 12 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chapecoense-sc recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 19. Atletico Paranaense recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses, with 19 scored and 19 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chapecoense-sc | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 19 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chapecoense-sc: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 2.08 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.59 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Atletico Paranaense: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 1.91 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.95 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chapecoense-sc recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VitoriaSerie A | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Atletico NacionalFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atletico-MGSerie A | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| InternacionalSerie A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CorinthiansSerie A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| GremioSerie A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Sao PauloSerie A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| BahiaSerie A | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| CoritibaSerie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CruzeiroCopa Do Brasil | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chapecoense-sc’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Atletico Paranaense recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MGSerie A | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| BahiaSerie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| CoritibaSerie A | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| CruzeiroSerie A | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FluminenseSerie A | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| BotafogoSerie A | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| RB BragantinoSerie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SantosSerie A | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| VitoriaCopa Do Brasil | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| VitoriaCopa Do Brasil | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Atletico Paranaense’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Atletico Paranaense are ranked 4 in Serie A, with 50 points from 29 games.
Chapecoense-sc are ranked 20 in Serie A, with 18 points from 28 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 58 | 25 | 33 | 64 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 52 | 22 | 30 | 63 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 50 |
| 5 | Bahia | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 47 |
| 8 | Santos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 42 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 39 |
| 10 | Coritiba | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 38 |
| 11 | RB Bragantino | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Botafogo | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 35 |
| 14 | Vasco DA Gama | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 33 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 32 |
| 17 | Internacional | 30 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 31 |
| 19 | Remo | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 25 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 28 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 29 | 57 | -28 | 18 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.