Major League Soccer · Regular Season - 16
Chicago Fire3–1Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Major League Soccer
- Venue
- Soldier Field
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps: match review and analysis
Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps in Major League Soccer on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Chicago Fire recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Vancouver Whitecaps recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 21 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chicago Fire | Vancouver Whitecaps |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chicago Fire: (1.36 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.31 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Vancouver Whitecaps: (2.15 weighted goals scored + 1.68 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.92 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chicago Fire recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CharlotteMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nashville SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Toronto FCMajor League Soccer | Away | 4–4 | Draw | |
| Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MonterreyLeagues Cup | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Chicago Fire’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Vancouver Whitecaps recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DC UnitedMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CF MontrealCanadian Championship | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AustinMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| CF MontrealCanadian Championship | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| FC DallasMajor League Soccer | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Vancouver Whitecaps’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Major League Soccer — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Vancouver Whitecaps are ranked 1 in Western Conference, with 50 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60 | 29 | 31 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 21 |
Chicago Fire are ranked 4 in Eastern Conference, with 45 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.