Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 · Group 10 - 5
Chiclana1–1Sevilla III
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Chiclana vs Sevilla III: match review and analysis
Chiclana vs Sevilla III in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Chiclana recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Sevilla III recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 8 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Chiclana | Sevilla III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Chiclana: (1.07 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Sevilla III: (0.78 weighted goals scored + 0.97 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Chiclana recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PortuenseTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Ceuta IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Córdoba IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LinenseTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Recreativo HuelvaTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PozoblancoTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San Roque LepeTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| CastillejaTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Coria CFTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Ceuta IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Chiclana’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Sevilla III recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EgabrenseTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San Roque LepeTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Xerez DeportivoTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Betis CTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Atlético CentralTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| UtreraTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dos HermanasTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cádiz IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ciudad de LucenaTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| BollullosTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Sevilla III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Chiclana are ranked 7 in Group 10, with 8 points from 5 games.
Sevilla III are ranked 14 in Group 10, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dos Hermanas | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | Utrera | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Betis C | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Portuense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Pozoblanco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Egabrense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Chiclana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Tomares | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | San Roque Lepe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Xerez Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Linense | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Conil | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Cádiz II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 | Sevilla III | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Ceuta II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Bollullos | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | Córdoba II | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.