Friendlies · Friendly International
China0–1Tajikistan
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 6 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Friendlies
- Venue
- Longxing Football Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
China vs Tajikistan: match review and analysis
China vs Tajikistan in Friendlies on 6 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
China recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Tajikistan recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 21 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | China | Tajikistan |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
China: (0.91 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Tajikistan: (2.00 weighted goals scored + 1.74 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
China recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PalestineFriendlies | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| New ZealandFriendlies | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MaldivesFriendlies | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ThailandFriendlies | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| SingaporeFriendlies | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CameroonFIFA Series | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CuraçaoFIFA Series | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| UzbekistanFriendlies | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Hong KongEAFF E-1 Football Championship | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| JapanEAFF E-1 Football Championship | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from China’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Tajikistan recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PalestineFriendlies | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| AzerbaijanFriendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| IndiaFriendlies | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| IndiaFriendlies | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| PhilippinesAsian Cup - Qualification | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Timor-LesteAsian Cup - Qualification | Away | 5–0 | Won | |
| MaldivesAsian Cup - Qualification | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| MaldivesAsian Cup - Qualification | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| IranCAFA Nations Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AfghanistanCAFA Nations Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Tajikistan’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Friendlies — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.