Indian Super League · Regular Season - 1
Churchill BrothersvsMumbai City
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Indian Super League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City: match review and analysis
Churchill Brothers vs Mumbai City in Indian Super League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Churchill Brothers recorded 4 wins, 6 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Mumbai City recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 14 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Churchill Brothers | Mumbai City |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 22 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Churchill Brothers: (2.26 weighted goals scored + 0.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Mumbai City: (1.51 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.37 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Churchill Brothers recent form
2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real KashmirI-League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Inter KashiI-League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Sreenidi DeccanI-League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DempoI-League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Shillong LajongI-League | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Rajasthan UnitedI-League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| NamdhariI-League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Delhi FCI-League | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| GokulamI-League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| SC BengaluruI-League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Churchill Brothers’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Mumbai City recent form
1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minerva PunjabIndian Super League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| MohammedanIndian Super League | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| East Bengal IIIndian Super League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| BengaluruIndian Super League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| GoaIndian Super League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| JamshedpurIndian Super League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| OdishaIndian Super League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ATK Mohun BaganIndian Super League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Inter KashiIndian Super League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| SC DelhiIndian Super League | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Mumbai City’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Indian Super League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Churchill Brothers are ranked 7 in Regular Season, with 0 points from 0 games.
Mumbai City are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 0 points from 0 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengaluru | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | SC Delhi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Goa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Chennaiyin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Inter Kashi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Kerala Blasters | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Churchill Brothers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Mumbai City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | NorthEast United | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | ATK Mohun Bagan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Minerva Punjab | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Odisha | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | East Bengal II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.