Serie D - Girone D · Group D - 7
Cittadella Vis ModenavsUSD Casatese
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Serie D - Girone D
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese: match review and analysis
Cittadella Vis Modena vs USD Casatese in Serie D - Girone D on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Cittadella Vis Modena recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 12. USD Casatese recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 20 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cittadella Vis Modena | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 20 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cittadella Vis Modena: (0.83 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.03 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
USD Casatese: (1.92 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cittadella Vis Modena recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasso Marconi ZolaCoppa Italia Serie D | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PontederaSerie D - Girone D | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| CorreggeseSerie D - Girone D | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LentigioneSerie D - Girone D | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Città di VareseSerie D - Girone D | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| CorianoSerie D - Girone D | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| VaresinaSerie D - Girone D | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| LivornoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| PistoieseSerie D - Girone D | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Pro PalazzoloSerie D - Girone D | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Cittadella Vis Modena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
USD Casatese recent form
2.00 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PistoieseSerie D - Girone D | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| VaresinaSerie D - Girone D | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| CorreggeseSerie D - Girone D | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Sant'AngeloSerie D - Girone D | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| SolbiateseSerie D - Girone D | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ArconateseSerie D - Girone D | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| ChievoSerie D - Girone B | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LeonSerie D - Girone B | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Leon Monza e BrianzaSerie D - Girone B | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ScanzorosciateSerie D - Girone B | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from USD Casatese’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Serie D - Girone D — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cittadella Vis Modena are ranked 6 in Serie D: Group D, with 10 points from 6 games.
USD Casatese are ranked 7 in Serie D: Group D, with 10 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 18 |
| 2 | Pro Sesto | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 13 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Castellanzese | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 12 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | USD Casatese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Correggese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Pavia | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Città di Varese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Varesina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Coriano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Crema | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 4 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Oltrepò | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.