Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 · Group 4 - 6
Ciudad de LucenavsDon Benito
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Ciudad de Lucena vs Don Benito: match review and analysis
Ciudad de Lucena vs Don Benito in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Ciudad de Lucena recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 8. Don Benito recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 19 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Ciudad de Lucena | Don Benito |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Ciudad de Lucena: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 0.90 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.30 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Don Benito: (1.57 weighted goals scored + 0.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.17 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Ciudad de Lucena recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puente GenilSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Tenerife IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Mijas Las LagunasSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Linares DeportivoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Dos HermanasTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cádiz IITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| TomaresTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| BollullosTercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sevilla IIITercera División RFEF - Group 10 | Away | 3–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Ciudad de Lucena’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Don Benito recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EsteponaSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| SanluqueñoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| XerezSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Las Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| AntonianoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MoraloTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| DiocesanoTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 8–1 | Won | |
| VillafrancaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| JerezTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Santa AmaliaTercera División RFEF - Group 14 | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Don Benito’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Don Benito are ranked 3 in Group 4, with 10 points from 5 games.
Ciudad de Lucena are ranked 5 in Group 4, with 8 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Betis II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Recreativo Huelva | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 12 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Tenerife II | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Ciudad de Lucena | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Sevilla Atletico | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 7 | Badajoz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Estepona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Linares Deportivo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sanluqueño | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Atlético Central | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Xerez | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Marbella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Puente Genil | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 | Las Palmas II | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Tamaraceite | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Antoniano | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.