Liga MX · Apertura - 11
Club AmericavsMonterrey
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga MX
- Venue
- Estadio Banorte
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Club America vs Monterrey: match review and analysis
Club America vs Monterrey in Liga MX on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Club America recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 14. Monterrey recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 16 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Club America | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 16 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Club America: (1.55 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.67 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Monterrey: (1.42 weighted goals scored + 1.37 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.39 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Club America recent form
1.70 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guadalajara ChivasFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Cruz AzulFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| NecaxaLiga MX | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Guadalajara ChivasLiga MX | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Cruz AzulLiga MX | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| LeonLeagues Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MonterreyLeagues Cup | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| PueblaLiga MX | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Columbus CrewLeagues Cup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC JuarezLiga MX | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Club America’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Monterrey recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TolucaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Atlante FCLiga MX | Away | 2–4 | Lost | |
| Cruz AzulLiga MX | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Tigres UANLLiga MX | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| TolucaLeagues Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Club AmericaLeagues Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Atletico San LuisLiga MX | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Chicago FireLeagues Cup | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| LeonLiga MX | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| FC JuarezLiga MX | Home | 6–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Monterrey’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga MX — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Club America are ranked 2 in Liga MX: Apertura, with 20 points from 9 games.
Monterrey are ranked 10 in Liga MX: Apertura, with 13 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Club America | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Club Queretaro | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Leon | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Puebla | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 12 |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
| 14 | Atlante FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 25 | -18 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.