Comercial PI2–1Flamengo PI

Real Scored match analysis

Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI: match review and analysis

Comercial PI vs Flamengo PI in Piauiense - 2 on 7 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 2–1, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.

Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.

Comercial PI recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 12. Flamengo PI recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 12 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.

Why this selection?

The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.

Comercial PI: (1.19 weighted goals scored + 1.16 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

Flamengo PI: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 1.11 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.16 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.

The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.

Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.