Segunda División · Promotion Group - 8
Concón NationalvsProvincial Osorno
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Concón National vs Provincial Osorno: match review and analysis
Concón National vs Provincial Osorno in Segunda División on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Concón National recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Provincial Osorno recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Concón National | Provincial Osorno |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 13 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Concón National: (1.44 weighted goals scored + 1.42 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Provincial Osorno: (0.92 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.08 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Concón National recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ColchaguaSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Santiago CitySegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Linares UnidoSegunda División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Municipal SalamancaSegunda División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| TrasandinoSegunda División | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Provincial OsornoSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Santiago CitySegunda División | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Municipal SalamancaSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ColinaSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real San JoaquínSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Concón National’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Provincial Osorno recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ColchaguaSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Santiago CitySegunda División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Municipal SalamancaSegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| TrasandinoSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Linares UnidoSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Concón NationalSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Lota SchwagerSegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| General VelásquezSegunda División | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| ColchaguaSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Linares UnidoSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Provincial Osorno’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Provincial Osorno are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 24 points from 12 games.
Concón National are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 21 points from 12 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 22 |
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 6 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.