Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 · Group 2 - 6
CondalvsAndes
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Condal vs Andes: match review and analysis
Condal vs Andes in Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Condal recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Andes recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 2 scored and 9 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Condal | Andes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 3 | 0 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 2 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 4 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Condal: (0.93 weighted goals scored + 1.76 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.35 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Andes: (0.30 weighted goals scored + 1.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Condal recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LlanesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gijón IndustrialTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| MosconiaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San MartínTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| SieroTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sporting Gijón IITercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| CearesTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ColungaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CovadongaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| L'EntreguTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Condal’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
Andes recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 4 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gijón IndustrialTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| MosconiaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| San MartínTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| SieroTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| ColungaTercera División RFEF - Group 2 | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Andes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Condal are ranked 4 in Tercera: Group 2, with 11 points from 5 games.
Andes are ranked 18 in Tercera: Group 2, with 1 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Covadonga | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Sporting Gijón II | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Mosconia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 11 |
| 4 | Condal | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 5 | Colunga | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Caudal | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Siero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Langreo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Gijón Industrial | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Lealtad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | San Martín | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 12 | Praviano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | L'Entregu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Ceares | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Llanes | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Avilés Stadium | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Astur | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 2 |
| 18 | Andes | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.