J2 League · Regular Season - 9
Consadole Sapporo2–1Iwaki
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- J2 League
- Venue
- Sapporo Dome
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki: match review and analysis
Consadole Sapporo vs Iwaki in J2 League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Consadole Sapporo recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 22. Iwaki recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses, with 11 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Consadole Sapporo | Iwaki |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Consadole Sapporo: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.53 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Iwaki: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 2.21 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.66 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Consadole Sapporo recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fagiano OkayamaJ-League Cup | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Vegalta SendaiJ2 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Tochigi CityJ2 League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Kagoshima UnitedJ-League Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ventforet KofuJ2 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Ventforet KofuEmperor Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Omiya ArdijaJ2 League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Albirex NiigataJ2 League | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Consadole Sapporo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Iwaki recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vegalta SendaiJ2 League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Sagan TosuJ2 League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Yokohama FCJ2 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Tokushima VortisJ2 League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| KitakyushuJ-League Cup | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Albirex NiigataJ2 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Oita TrinitaEmperor Cup | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Oita TrinitaJ2 League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Fujieda MYFCJ2 League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| ImabariJ2 League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Iwaki’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
J2 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Iwaki are ranked 16 in J2 League, with 9 points from 9 games.
Consadole Sapporo are ranked 18 in J2 League, with 8 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Fujieda MYFC | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Blaublitz Akita | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 9 | Tokushima Vortis | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Montedio Yamagata | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 11 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Oita Trinita | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 11 |
| 13 | Tochigi City | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Jubilo Iwata | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 10 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Iwaki | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 9 |
| 17 | Sagan Tosu | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Consadole Sapporo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 8 |
| 19 | Imabari | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.