Liga Premier Serie A · Apertura - 6
Correcaminos UAT II3–1La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 5 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Liga Premier Serie A
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–1
- 90-minute score
- 3–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Correcaminos UAT II vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez: match review and analysis
Correcaminos UAT II vs La Tribu de Cd. Juarez in Liga Premier Serie A on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Correcaminos UAT II recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 16. La Tribu de Cd. Juarez recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, with 14 scored and 5 conceded across 5 games.
| Statistic | Correcaminos UAT II | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 5 | 1 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 5 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Correcaminos UAT II: (1.17 weighted goals scored + 1.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.13 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez: (2.67 weighted goals scored + 1.27 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Correcaminos UAT II recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Héroes de ZaciLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| GuerrerosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| AcatlanLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Atlético SaltilloLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Mineros de FresnilloLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| ChilpancingoLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| FC SantiagoLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Zacatepec 1948Liga Premier Serie A | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Sporting CanamyLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Correcaminos UAT II’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 5 GAMES
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez recent form
2.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 5 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real ApodacaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Vaqueros ReynosaLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| GuerrerosLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AcatlanLiga Premier Serie A | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Atlético SaltilloLiga Premier Serie A | Away | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from La Tribu de Cd. Juarez’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 5 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Liga Premier Serie A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez are ranked 1 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 13 points from 6 games.
Correcaminos UAT II are ranked 5 in Liga Premier Serie A, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 1 | Artesanos Metepec | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Acatlan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Dragones de Oaxaca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Vaqueros Reynosa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Halcones Negros | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 10 |
| 4 | Mineros de Fresnillo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | Acambaro | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 5 | Correcaminos UAT II | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 5 | Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Atlético Saltillo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 8 |
| 6 | Guerreros del Pacifico | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | FC Santiago | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Calor de San Pedro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 8 | Guerreros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 8 | Real Refineros | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Ciervos | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 2 |
| 10 | Héroes de Zaci | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 2 |
| 10 | Cañoneros Marina | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 19 | -18 | 0 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.