Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 · Group 13 - 5
Cotillas CD2–1Bala Azul
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 4 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Tercera División RFEF - Group 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cotillas CD vs Bala Azul: match review and analysis
Cotillas CD vs Bala Azul in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Cotillas CD recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 4 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Bala Azul recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, with 14 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cotillas CD | Bala Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cotillas CD: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 1.52 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.38 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Bala Azul: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 1.83 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.52 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 4 GAMES
Cotillas CD recent form
1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. 4 of 4 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético PulpileñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cotillas CD’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 4 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Bala Azul recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AlcantarillaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Águilas IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mazarrón FCTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| UD CaravacaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| CiezaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| MuleñoTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Olímpico TotanaTercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Cartagena LU IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Real Murcia IITercera División RFEF - Group 13 | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Bala Azul’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Cotillas CD are ranked 8 in Tercera: Group 13, with 7 points from 5 games.
Bala Azul are ranked 13 in Tercera: Group 13, with 5 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | San Javier | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Alcantarilla | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Unión Molinense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Atlético Pulpileño | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Olímpico Totana | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | SFC Minerva | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Cotillas CD | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | UCAM Murcia II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Bullas Deportivo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Águilas II | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Bala Azul | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Los Garres | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cartagena LU II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Balsicas Atlético | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3 |
| 17 | Algar | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
| 18 | Mazarrón FC | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.