Premiership Women · Group Stage
Crusaders Strikers W2–3Derry City W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premiership Women
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Crusaders Strikers W vs Derry City W: match review and analysis
Crusaders Strikers W vs Derry City W in Premiership Women on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Crusaders Strikers W recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 40. Derry City W recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 21 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Crusaders Strikers W | Derry City W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 40 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 10 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Crusaders Strikers W: (2.01 weighted goals scored + 2.03 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.02 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Derry City W: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 3.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.70 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Crusaders Strikers W recent form
1.80 goals scored and 4.00 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisburn Ladies WPremiership Women | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Larne WPremiership Women | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Larne WPremiership Women | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Linfield WPremiership Women | Away | 1–7 | Lost | |
| Lisburn Ladies WPremiership Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Glentoran BU WPremiership Women | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Cliftonville WPremiership Women | Away | 0–9 | Lost | |
| Lisburn Rangers WPremiership Women | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Derry City WPremiership Women | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Linfield WPremiership Women | Home | 1–9 | Lost |
Scores shown from Crusaders Strikers W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Derry City W recent form
2.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larne WPremiership Women | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Lisburn Ladies WPremiership Women | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Cliftonville WPremiership Women | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Lisburn Ladies WPremiership Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Linfield WPremiership Women | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Lisburn Rangers WPremiership Women | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Glentoran BU WPremiership Women | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Larne WPremiership Women | Home | 7–0 | Won | |
| Crusaders Strikers WPremiership Women | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Glentoran BU WPremiership Women | Away | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Derry City W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premiership Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Crusaders W are ranked 1 in Group Stage, with 10 points from 5 games.
Derry City W are ranked 5 in Group Stage, with 6 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crusaders W | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 |
| 2 | Glentoran BU W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17 | 9 |
| 3 | Cliftonville W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 9 |
| 4 | Linfield W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 6 |
| 5 | Derry City W | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | Lisburn Ladies W | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 27 | -22 | 4 |
| 7 | Larne W | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.