Premier League · Regular Season - 6
Crystal PalacevsNottingham Forest
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- Selhurst Park
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: match review and analysis
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Crystal Palace recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 15 and conceding 17. Nottingham Forest recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 8 scored and 10 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 15 | 8 |
| Goals conceded | 17 | 10 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Crystal Palace: (1.59 weighted goals scored + 1.05 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.32 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Nottingham Forest: (0.89 weighted goals scored + 1.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.24 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Crystal Palace recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LeedsPremier League | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Lech PoznanUEFA Europa League | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| IpswichPremier League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| MiddlesbroughLeague Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| FulhamPremier League | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Manchester CityPremier League | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| EvertonPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| SC FreiburgFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FulhamFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Crystal Palace’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Nottingham Forest recent form
0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CoventryPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Aston VillaPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| TottenhamPremier League | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LiverpoolPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LeedsLeague Cup | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| LeedsPremier League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Bayer LeverkusenFriendlies Clubs | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| BarcelonaFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UdineseFriendlies Clubs | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Nottingham Forest’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Nottingham Forest are ranked 13 in Premier League, with 5 points from 5 games.
Crystal Palace are ranked 15 in Premier League, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 |
| 3 | Brighton | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 10 |
| 4 | Brentford | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Hull City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Ipswich | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Manchester United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Nottingham Forest | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 | Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 | Fulham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Tottenham | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.