First League · Regular Season - 11
CSKA 1948vsCSKA Sofia
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- First League
- Venue
- Bistritsa Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia: match review and analysis
CSKA 1948 vs CSKA Sofia in First League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
CSKA 1948 recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 17 and conceding 9. CSKA Sofia recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 21 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CSKA 1948 | CSKA Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 17 | 21 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CSKA 1948: (1.76 weighted goals scored + 1.24 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
CSKA Sofia: (2.04 weighted goals scored + 0.86 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.45 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CSKA 1948 recent form
1.70 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia SofiaFirst League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Dunav RuseFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Levski SofiaFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Septemvri SofiaFirst League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cherno More VarnaFirst League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| PanathinaikosUEFA Europa Conference League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Arda KardzhaliFirst League | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from CSKA 1948’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
CSKA Sofia recent form
2.10 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv PlovdivFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Lokomotiv SofiaFirst League | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Arda KardzhaliFirst League | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Levski SofiaSuper Cup | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Spartak VarnaFirst League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cherno More VarnaFirst League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| OFIUEFA Europa League | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| OFIUEFA Europa League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Botev VratsaFirst League | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Maccabi Tel AvivUEFA Europa League | Home | 1–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from CSKA Sofia’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
First League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CSKA Sofia are ranked 2 in A PFG, with 24 points from 10 games.
CSKA 1948 are ranked 4 in A PFG, with 22 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 24 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 23 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Arda Kardzhali | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Slavia Sofia | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
| 10 | Septemvri Sofia | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 7 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 7 |
| 13 | Cherno More Varna | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 6 |
| 14 | Dunav Ruse | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 5 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.