Cup · Group Stage - 4
FULL-TIME
CSKA Moscow4–0FC Rostov
RealScored · Match result
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Cup
- Venue
- VEB Arena
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–0
- 90-minute score
- 4–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov: match review and analysis
CSKA Moscow vs FC Rostov in Cup on 14 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–0. Review the team form and league context below.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
CSKA Moscow recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 18 and conceding 14. FC Rostov recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses, with 9 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CSKA Moscow | FC Rostov |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 18 | 9 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CSKA Moscow: (1.98 weighted goals scored + 1.78 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
FC Rostov: (0.77 weighted goals scored + 1.30 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CSKA Moscow recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodina MoskvaPremier League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Arsenal TulaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| RubinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZenitPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC RostovCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AkronPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LokomotivPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| AkronCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from CSKA Moscow’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
FC Rostov recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AkronPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| FC KrasnodarFriendlies Clubs | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| DynamoPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Spartak MoscowPremier League | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| FakelPremier League | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| CSKA MoscowCup | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| FC KrasnodarPremier League | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AkhmatPremier League | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| LokomotivCup | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| RubinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from FC Rostov’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Cup — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.