Premier League · Regular Season - 10
CSKA MoscowvsRodina Moskva
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Premier League
- Venue
- VEB Arena
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva: match review and analysis
CSKA Moscow vs Rodina Moskva in Premier League on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
CSKA Moscow recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 14. Rodina Moskva recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses, with 13 scored and 26 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | CSKA Moscow | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 26 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
CSKA Moscow: (1.71 weighted goals scored + 2.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Rodina Moskva: (1.40 weighted goals scored + 1.47 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.43 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
CSKA Moscow recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal TulaFriendlies Clubs | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Nizhny NovgorodFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| RubinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| ZenitPremier League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FC RostovCup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| AkronPremier League | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| LokomotivPremier League | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| AkronCup | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FakelPremier League | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from CSKA Moscow’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Rodina Moskva recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.60 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DynamoFriendlies Clubs | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| FK PartizanFriendlies Clubs | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| RubinPremier League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Krylia SovetovPremier League | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Dinamo MakhachkalaPremier League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Spartak MoscowCup | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BaltikaPremier League | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| DynamoPremier League | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| FC OrenburgCup | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AkronPremier League | Home | 3–3 | Draw |
Scores shown from Rodina Moskva’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Premier League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
CSKA Moscow are ranked 3 in Premier League, with 19 points from 9 games.
Rodina Moskva are ranked 15 in Premier League, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 12 |
| 7 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | Krylia Sovetov | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 |
| 11 | Akhmat | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | FC Orenburg | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Akron | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 22 | -12 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.