CONCACAF Nations League · League B - 3
Cuba2–2St. Kitts and Nevis
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- CONCACAF Nations League
- Venue
- Hasely Crawford Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–2
- 90-minute score
- 2–2
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 16′
- 25′
- 63′T. WilliamsPenaltySt. Kitts and Nevis
- 90′D. DiazNormal GoalCuba
Cards
- 26′Michael CamejoYellow CardCubaFoul
- 57′Rico BrowneYellow CardSt. Kitts and NevisFoul
- 62′Ismel MorgadoYellow CardCubaArgument
- 62′Karel PérezYellow CardCubaFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Cuba
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Yunielys Castillo Carmenate
Starting XI
- 1d. J. Morgado Batista I.
- 19A. Delgado Blanco
- 14K. EspinoD
- 5K. Perez
- 17E. NebredaD
- 15Y. Y. PerezM
- 6M. Campos
- 10D. Reyes
- 13D. CatasusM
- 7M. CamejoM
- 23L. ParadelaF
Substitutes
St. Kitts and Nevis
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Austin Huggins
Starting XI
- 18J. ArchibaldG
- 2M. RobertsD
- 3R. BrowneD
- 6J. BoweryD
- 12M. Garnette
- 19R. SawyersM
- 14T. WhartonM
- 8Y. MitchumM
- 20K. KellyM
- 7T. WilliamsF
- 22O. Sterling-JamesF
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis: match review and analysis
Cuba vs St. Kitts and Nevis in CONCACAF Nations League on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–2. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Cuba recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 16. St. Kitts and Nevis recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 23 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cuba | St. Kitts and Nevis |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 23 |
| Goals conceded | 16 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cuba: (1.90 weighted goals scored + 2.04 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
St. Kitts and Nevis: (2.22 weighted goals scored + 1.26 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.74 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cuba recent form
1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Kitts and NevisCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| BonaireCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| GrenadaCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Dominican RepublicCONCACAF Series | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| MartiniqueCONCACAF Series | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MartiniqueCONCACAF Series | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| St. LuciaCONCACAF Series | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| GrenadaFriendlies | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| St. Vincent / GrenadinesFriendlies | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| St. Vincent / GrenadinesFriendlies | Away | 0–7 | Lost |
Scores shown from Cuba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
St. Kitts and Nevis recent form
2.30 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CubaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| GrenadaCONCACAF Nations League | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| BonaireCONCACAF Nations League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Solomon IslandsFIFA Series | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| IndonesiaFIFA Series | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| BelizeCONCACAF Series | Home | 2–6 | Lost | |
| Sint MaartenCONCACAF Series | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Saint MartinFriendlies | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Saint MartinFriendlies | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| GrenadaWorld Cup - Qualification CONCACAF | Home | 2–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from St. Kitts and Nevis’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
CONCACAF Nations League — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.