Primera División · Clausura - 11
CuscovsAlianza Lima
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
Not Started
This match has finished. Go back home for the latest fixtures →
THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Cusco vs Alianza Lima: match review and analysis
Cusco vs Alianza Lima in Primera División on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Cusco recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 14. Alianza Lima recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 13 scored and 11 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Cusco | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 6 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 11 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Cusco: (1.79 weighted goals scored + 1.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.46 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Alianza Lima: (1.22 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.19 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Cusco recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC CajamarcaPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| FBC MelgarPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UCV MoqueguaPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CiencianoPrimera División | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| UTC CajamarcaPrimera División | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| UniversitarioPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Alianza AtleticoPrimera División | Home | 4–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Cusco’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Alianza Lima recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PalestinoFriendlies Clubs | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ADTPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| UniversitarioPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Juan Pablo II CollegePrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Deportivo GarcilasoPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FBC MelgarPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UTC CajamarcaPrimera División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sport BoysPrimera División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Alianza AtleticoPrimera División | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Comerciantes UnidosPrimera División | Away | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Alianza Lima’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Alianza Lima are ranked 1 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 56 points from 27 games.
Cusco are ranked 5 in Primera Division: Tabla Anual, with 45 points from 27 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 49 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 44 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 43 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 35 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | ADT | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 25 |
| 17 | UCV Moquegua | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 15 |
Alianza Lima are ranked 1 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 40 points from 17 games.
Cusco are ranked 6 in Primera Division: Apertura, with 27 points from 17 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 22 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 16 |
Cusco are ranked 9 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 18 points from 10 games.
Alianza Lima are ranked 11 in Primera Division: Clausura, with 16 points from 10 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 17 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 10 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 9 |
| 15 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | ADT | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 2 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.