K3 League · Regular Season - 24
Daejeon KorailvsDangjin Citizen
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K3 League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen: match review and analysis
Daejeon Korail vs Dangjin Citizen in K3 League on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Daejeon Korail recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Dangjin Citizen recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 25 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Daejeon Korail | Dangjin Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 25 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Daejeon Korail: (1.13 weighted goals scored + 1.81 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Dangjin Citizen: (2.49 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.71 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Daejeon Korail recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gangneung CityK3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Ulsan CitizenK3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Changwon CityK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| YangpyeongK3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Siheung CitizenK3 League | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PocheonK3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Gyeongju HNPK3 League | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PocheonFA Cup | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Busan TransportationK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Jeonbuk Motors IIK3 League | Home | 4–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Daejeon Korail’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Dangjin Citizen recent form
2.50 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gyeongju HNPK3 League | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Busan TransportationK3 League | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| ChuncheonK3 League | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Yeoju SejongK3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Jeonbuk MotorsFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yeoju SejongFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mokpo CityK3 League | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Jeonbuk Motors IIK3 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yongin CityFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PocheonK3 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Dangjin Citizen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Daejeon Korail are ranked 3 in K3 League, with 41 points from 23 games.
Dangjin Citizen are ranked 6 in K3 League, with 31 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Gyeongju HNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 31 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon City | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | Yeoju Sejong | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Ulsan Citizen | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 46 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.