K3 League · Regular Season - 23
Dangjin Citizen2–3Gyeongju HNP
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- K3 League
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–3
- 90-minute score
- 2–3
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP: match review and analysis
Dangjin Citizen vs Gyeongju HNP in K3 League on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–3. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Dangjin Citizen recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 13. Gyeongju HNP recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 15 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Dangjin Citizen | Gyeongju HNP |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dangjin Citizen: (2.71 weighted goals scored + 1.29 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.00 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Gyeongju HNP: (1.53 weighted goals scored + 1.77 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dangjin Citizen recent form
2.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Busan TransportationK3 League | Home | 5–3 | Won | |
| ChuncheonK3 League | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Yeoju SejongK3 League | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Jeonbuk MotorsFA Cup | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Yeoju SejongFA Cup | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mokpo CityK3 League | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Jeonbuk Motors IIK3 League | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Yongin CityFA Cup | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| PocheonK3 League | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| HamanFA Cup | Away | 0–0 | Draw |
Scores shown from Dangjin Citizen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Gyeongju HNP recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Changwon CityK3 League | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Gangneung CityK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ulsan CitizenK3 League | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| YangpyeongK3 League | Away | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Siheung CitizenK3 League | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| CheongjuFA Cup | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Daejeon KorailK3 League | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Seosan PioneerFA Cup | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| PocheonK3 League | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Busan TransportationK3 League | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Gyeongju HNP’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
K3 League — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Gyeongju HNP are ranked 5 in K3 League, with 35 points from 23 games.
Dangjin Citizen are ranked 6 in K3 League, with 31 points from 23 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 20 | 17 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Transportation | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 37 |
| 5 | Gyeongju HNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 31 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon City | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 29 |
| 9 | Ulsan Citizen | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 28 |
| 10 | Yeoju Sejong | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung City | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo City | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 17 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk Motors II | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.