Eredivisie Women · Regular Season - 7
De Graafschap W3–0AZ W
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Eredivisie Women
- Venue
- De Vijverberg
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
De Graafschap W vs AZ W: match review and analysis
De Graafschap W vs AZ W in Eredivisie Women on 4 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
De Graafschap W recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 7 and conceding 12. AZ W recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 22 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | De Graafschap W | AZ W |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 7 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 22 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
De Graafschap W: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 2.50 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
AZ W: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 2.10 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.69 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
De Graafschap W recent form
1.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 4 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSV/Eindhoven WEredivisie Women | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| PEC Zwolle WEredivisie Women | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| ADO Den Haag WEredivisie Women | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Ajax WEredivisie Women | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Heerenveen WEredivisie Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Twente WEredivisie Women | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from De Graafschap W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
AZ W recent form
1.30 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twente WEredivisie Women | Home | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Ajax WEredivisie Women | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| PSV/Eindhoven WEredivisie Women | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Utrecht WEredivisie Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Feyenoord WEredivisie Women | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| ADO Den Haag WEredivisie Women | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Excelsior WEredivisie Women | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Ajax WEredivisie Women | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Heerenveen WEredivisie Women | Home | 1–5 | Lost | |
| ADO Den Haag WEredivisie Women | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from AZ W’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Eredivisie Women — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
AZ W are ranked 4 in Regular Season, with 12 points from 7 games.
De Graafschap W are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Twente W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 3 | 26 | 21 |
| 2 | Ajax W | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 18 |
| 3 | PSV/Eindhoven W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | AZ W | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 12 |
| 5 | De Graafschap W | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Heerenveen W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
| 7 | PEC Zwolle W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | ADO Den Haag W | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
| 9 | Feyenoord W | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 6 |
| 10 | Utrecht W | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.