Torneo Promocional Amateur · Final
Defensores GlewvsSAT Moreno
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Torneo Promocional Amateur
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Defensores Glew vs SAT Moreno: match review and analysis
Defensores Glew vs SAT Moreno in Torneo Promocional Amateur on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Defensores Glew recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 23 and conceding 3. SAT Moreno recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Defensores Glew | SAT Moreno |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 23 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 3 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Defensores Glew: (1.94 weighted goals scored + 1.34 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.64 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
SAT Moreno: (1.30 weighted goals scored + 0.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.88 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Defensores Glew recent form
2.30 goals scored and 0.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UribelarreaTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| UribelarreaTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Buenos Aires CityTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Buenos Aires CityTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nautico HacoajTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Atletico PilarTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ProvincialTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Estrella de BerissoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo MetalurgicoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| SAT MorenoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Defensores Glew’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
SAT Moreno recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo MetalurgicoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportivo MetalurgicoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Barrancas UMETTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Barrancas UMETTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Estrella de BerissoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo MetalurgicoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Atletico PilarTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Juventud de BernalTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nautico HacoajTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Defensores GlewTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 0–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from SAT Moreno’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Torneo Promocional Amateur — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
SAT Moreno are ranked 1 in Regular Season, with 33 points from 14 games.
Defensores Glew are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 32 points from 14 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAT Moreno | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Defensores Glew | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 32 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Barrancas UMET | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 31 |
| 5 | Uribelarrea | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Ezeiza | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Buenos Aires City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Nautico Hacoaj | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| 9 | Belgrano Zarate | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Alumni Los Hornos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Control Orientado | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Estrella de Berisso | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Everton La Plata | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Las Mandarinas | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Atletico Pilar | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventud de Bernal | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 41 | -31 | 8 |
| 17 | Provincial | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.