Torneo Promocional Amateur · Semi-finals
Defensores Glew1–1Uribelarrea
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 4 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Torneo Promocional Amateur
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–1
- 90-minute score
- 1–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
No goals in the latest saved events.
Cards
No cards in the latest saved events.
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Defensores Glew vs Uribelarrea: match review and analysis
Defensores Glew vs Uribelarrea in Torneo Promocional Amateur on 4 October 2026 has finished after a penalty shootout. The match goal score was 1–1, excluding shootout kicks. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Defensores Glew recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 28 and conceding 2. Uribelarrea recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 9 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Defensores Glew | Uribelarrea |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 28 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 2 | 9 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Defensores Glew: (2.51 weighted goals scored + 0.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.65 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Uribelarrea: (1.88 weighted goals scored + 0.31 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.10 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Defensores Glew recent form
2.80 goals scored and 0.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UribelarreaTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Buenos Aires CityTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Buenos Aires CityTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Nautico HacoajTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Atletico PilarTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| ProvincialTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Estrella de BerissoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Deportivo MetalurgicoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| SAT MorenoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Juventud de BernalTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 5–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Defensores Glew’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Uribelarrea recent form
1.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensores GlewTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nautico HacoajTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 5–0 | Won | |
| Nautico HacoajTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Alumni Los HornosTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Las MandarinasTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Everton La PlataTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| EzeizaTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Barrancas UMETTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Buenos Aires CityTorneo Promocional Amateur | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Control OrientadoTorneo Promocional Amateur | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Uribelarrea’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Torneo Promocional Amateur — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Defensores Glew are ranked 2 in Regular Season, with 32 points from 14 games.
Uribelarrea are ranked 5 in Regular Season, with 29 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SAT Moreno | 14 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 33 |
| 2 | Defensores Glew | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 8 | 29 | 32 |
| 3 | Deportivo Metalurgico | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 10 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Barrancas UMET | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 31 |
| 5 | Uribelarrea | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Ezeiza | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 26 |
| 7 | Buenos Aires City | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 25 |
| 8 | Nautico Hacoaj | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| 9 | Belgrano Zarate | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 22 |
| 10 | Alumni Los Hornos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 18 |
| 11 | Control Orientado | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Estrella de Berisso | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Everton La Plata | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 14 |
| 14 | Las Mandarinas | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 14 |
| 15 | Atletico Pilar | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 9 |
| 16 | Juventud de Bernal | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 41 | -31 | 8 |
| 17 | Provincial | 14 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 38 | -29 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.