Copa Ecuador · Semi-finals
Delfin SCvsIndependiente del Valle
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Ecuador
- Venue
- Estadio Jocay
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle: match review and analysis
Delfin SC vs Independiente del Valle in Copa Ecuador on 7 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Delfin SC recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Independiente del Valle recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 19 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Delfin SC | Independiente del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 5 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Delfin SC: (0.85 weighted goals scored + 1.22 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.04 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Independiente del Valle: (1.85 weighted goals scored + 0.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.33 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Delfin SC recent form
0.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LDU PortoviejoCopa Ecuador | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Barcelona SCLiga Pro | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Tecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Mushuc Runa SCLiga Pro | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| AucasLiga Pro | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Cde Juventud ItalianaCopa Ecuador | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Independiente del ValleLiga Pro | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Orense SCLiga Pro | Home | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Delfin SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Independiente del Valle recent form
1.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gualaceo SCCopa Ecuador | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| LibertadLiga Pro | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| MacaraLiga Pro | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Barcelona SCLiga Pro | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Universidad CatolicaLiga Pro | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Deportes TolimaCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Leones del NorteLiga Pro | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Deportes TolimaCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Independiente del Valle’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Ecuador — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.