Türkiye Kupası · Round of 16
Denizli İYG0–1Serik Spor
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 8 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Türkiye Kupası
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–1
- 90-minute score
- 0–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Denizli İYG vs Serik Spor: match review and analysis
Denizli İYG vs Serik Spor in Türkiye Kupası on 8 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Denizli İYG recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 20. Serik Spor recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 11 scored and 20 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Denizli İYG | Serik Spor |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 20 | 20 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Denizli İYG: (0.41 weighted goals scored + 1.95 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.18 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Serik Spor: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 1.94 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.47 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Denizli İYG recent form
0.40 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anadolu Üniversitesi3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Kepezspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Gaziemirspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 0–5 | Lost | |
| Bursa Yıldırımspor3. Lig - Group 2 | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Altay3. Lig - Group 2 | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Anadolu Üniversitesi3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Alanya 1221 FK3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Balıkesirspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Kütahyaspor3. Lig - Group 4 | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Karsiyaka3. Lig - Group 4 | Home | 0–5 | Lost |
Scores shown from Denizli İYG’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Serik Spor recent form
1.10 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1461 Trabzon FK2. Lig | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Fethiyespor2. Lig | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ankaragücü2. Lig | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| İnegölspor2. Lig | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Karacabey Belediyespor2. Lig | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Boluspor1. Lig | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| Hatayspor1. Lig | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Manisa F.K.1. Lig | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Keçiörengücü1. Lig | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Vanspor FK1. Lig | Home | 1–6 | Lost |
Scores shown from Serik Spor’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Türkiye Kupası — current table
No league table is currently available for this competition and season. Some cup rounds and friendlies do not have standings.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.