Primera A · Clausura - 13
Deportes Tolima0–0Chico
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera A
- Venue
- Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
No goals in the latest saved events.
Cards
- 9′Shean BarbosaYellow CardDeportes TolimaFoul
- 45+1′Jacobo PimentelYellow CardChicoFoul
- 73′Ever ValenciaYellow CardDeportes TolimaFoul
Events updated
Lineups
Deportes Tolima
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Fernando Suarez Luis
Starting XI
- 1Neto VolpiG
- 3J. AnguloD
- 2A. AnguloD
- 30S. P. Barbosa GomezD
- 33J. MosqueraM
- 80B. RoviraM
- 32S. GuzmanM
- 8E. ValenciaM
- 7J. HurtadoF
- 24A. Parra OsorioF
- 10L. SanchezF
Substitutes
- 13M. OrtegaG
- 4D. PedrozoD
- 16V. ReyesM
- 26N. Zapata
- 11J. ValenciaF
- 15S. Aguayo
- 18K. FlorezF
- 19J. SantiagoF
Chico
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Jhon Gomez
Starting XI
- 1D. AgudeloG
- 24C. MosqueraD
- 5J. AlomiaD
- 4J. MenaD
- 14C. Blanco BetancurD
- 17E. SarriaM
- 8S. SalazarM
- 6J. DiazM
- 16S. Mera
- 22A. Maya
- 21J. PimentelF
Substitutes
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Deportes Tolima vs Chico: match review and analysis
Deportes Tolima vs Chico in Primera A on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Deportes Tolima recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Chico recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses, with 10 scored and 18 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportes Tolima | Chico |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 10 | 10 |
| Goals conceded | 12 | 18 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportes Tolima: (1.03 weighted goals scored + 1.80 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.41 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Chico: (1.06 weighted goals scored + 1.17 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.11 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportes Tolima recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza FCPrimera A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| America de CaliPrimera A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Once CaldasPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Santa FePrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| LlanerosPrimera A | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| CucutaPrimera A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores | Away | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BucaramangaPrimera A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Internacional de BogotaPrimera A | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportes Tolima’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Chico recent form
1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo PastoPrimera A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| MillonariosPrimera A | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Alianza ValleduparPrimera A | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Independiente MedellinPrimera A | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Once CaldasPrimera A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Águilas DoradasPrimera A | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Fortaleza FCPrimera A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| JaguaresPrimera A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Santa FePrimera A | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| America de CaliPrimera A | Away | 0–7 | Lost |
Scores shown from Chico’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportes Tolima are ranked 6 in Apertura, with 31 points from 19 games.
Chico are ranked 18 in Apertura, with 17 points from 19 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 10 |
Deportes Tolima are ranked 8 in Clausura, with 19 points from 12 games.
Chico are ranked 14 in Clausura, with 12 points from 11 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Deportivo Cali | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 10 | 10 | 23 |
| 4 | Atletico Nacional | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
| 6 | Millonarios | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Cucuta | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Once Caldas | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 13 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Chico | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza Valledupar | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 11 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
| 17 | Junior | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 9 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 9 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pereira | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Jaguares | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.