Copa Venezuela · Round 1 - Group D
Deportivo LaravsUrena SC
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 14 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Copa Venezuela
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Deportivo Lara vs Urena SC: match review and analysis
Deportivo Lara vs Urena SC in Copa Venezuela on 14 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Deportivo Lara recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 19 and conceding 7. Urena SC recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 11 scored and 17 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Lara | Urena SC |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 8 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 19 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 7 | 17 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Lara: (2.08 weighted goals scored + 1.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Urena SC: (1.24 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Lara recent form
1.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamora FC BSegunda División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Rayo ZulianoCopa Venezuela | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Puerto Cabello IISegunda División | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Real FronteraSegunda División | Home | 4–0 | Won | |
| Yaracuyanos FCSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Atletico el Vigia FCSegunda División | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Club Atletico BarinasSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Trujillanos FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Urena SCSegunda División | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaSegunda División | Home | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Lara’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Urena SC recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico el Vigia FCSegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Trujillanos FCCopa Venezuela | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Club Atletico BarinasSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Fundación Lara DeportivaSegunda División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Zamora FC BSegunda División | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Puerto Cabello IISegunda División | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Real FronteraSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Rayo ZulianoCopa Venezuela | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo LaraSegunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Yaracuyanos FCSegunda División | Away | 3–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Urena SC’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Copa Venezuela — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anzoátegui FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Atletico Avila FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Petare FC | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Marítimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zamora FC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 2 | Club Atletico Barinas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Atletico el Vigia FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 7 |
| 4 | Real Frontera | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caracas FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 13 |
| 2 | Aragua FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos FC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Fundación Lara Deportiva | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3 |
Urena SC are ranked 2 in Round 1 - Group D, with 6 points from 5 games.
Deportivo Lara are ranked 4 in Round 1 - Group D, with 4 points from 5 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Zuliano | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 11 |
| 2 | Urena SC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 3 | Trujillanos FC | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Deportivo Lara | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas SC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Mineros de Guyana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 10 |
| 3 | Bolívar | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 4 | Dinamo de Puerto La Cruz | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.