Segunda División · Promotion Group - 2
Deportivo Llacuabamba4–0Comerciantes
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Segunda División
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 4–0
- 90-minute score
- 4–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Comerciantes: match review and analysis
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Comerciantes in Segunda División on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 4–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Deportivo Llacuabamba recorded 1 wins, 6 draws and 3 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Comerciantes recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses, with 13 scored and 12 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Llacuabamba | Comerciantes |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 13 |
| Goals conceded | 10 | 12 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 5 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Llacuabamba: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 1.23 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.05 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Comerciantes: (1.29 weighted goals scored + 0.89 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.09 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Llacuabamba recent form
0.90 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportiva AgropecuariaSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Molinos El PirataSegunda División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Academia CantolaoSegunda División | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Union ComercioSegunda División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cesar VallejoSegunda División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Deportiva AgropecuariaSegunda División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| U. San MartinSegunda División | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Carlos A. MannucciSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FC CajamarcaCopa De La Liga | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| UTC CajamarcaCopa De La Liga | Home | 2–2 | Draw |
Scores shown from Deportivo Llacuabamba’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Comerciantes recent form
1.30 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 5 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Ayacucho FCSegunda División | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| Deportivo BinacionalSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| MinasSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Estudiantil CNISegunda División | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Bentín Tacna HeroicaSegunda División | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| SantosSegunda División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Alianza UniversidadSegunda División | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Sport Huancayo 2Segunda División | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sport BoysCopa De La Liga | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Comerciantes’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Segunda División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportivo Llacuabamba are ranked 3 in Segunda División, with 28 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos A. Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 30 |
| 3 | Deportivo Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 28 |
| 4 | Molinos El Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 24 |
| 6 | Deportiva Agropecuaria | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Academia Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 44 | -43 | 0 |
Comerciantes are ranked 2 in Segunda División, with 26 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bentín Tacna Heroica | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 29 |
| 2 | Comerciantes | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Alianza Universidad | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Santos | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 | Ayacucho FC | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Deportivo Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 49 | -39 | 10 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.