Primera División · Clausura - 9
Deportivo Maldonado3–0Central Espanol
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera División
- Venue
- Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 3–0
- 90-minute score
- 3–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
- 5′raul tarragonaMissed PenaltyCentral Espanol
- 14′R. CesarNormal GoalDeportivo Maldonado
- 82′L. IbanezNormal GoalDeportivo Maldonado
- 90′A. M. Noble SequeiraNormal GoalDeportivo Maldonado
Cards
- 59′Santiago CartagenaYellow CardDeportivo Maldonado
- 65′Cayetano BolzánYellow CardDeportivo Maldonado
- 67′Guillermo gandolfoYellow CardCentral Espanol
- 86′Fernando CamardaYellow CardCentral Espanol
Events updated
Lineups
Deportivo Maldonado
Formation: 4-3-1-2
Coach: Joaquin Boghossian
Starting XI
- 25D. SegoviaG
- 4J. M. GinzoD
- 2N. FuicaD
- 42J. FernandezD
- 22J. RamosD
- 18C. MayadaD
- 8M. GonzalezM
- 27G. SosaM
- 28S. CartagenaM
- 9C. BolzanF
- 16R. CesarF
Substitutes
- 1A. FreitasG
- 32H. PetrykD
- 5L. NunezM
- 31F. MarinoD
- 10A. M. Noble SequeiraF
- 30L. IbanezM
- 23A. VilaM
- 15S. GonzalezM
- 29E. MozzoneF
- 20S. TormoM
Central Espanol
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Antonio Pacheco
Starting XI
- 12F. PintadoG
- 17L. FernandezD
- 2I. Rodriguez
- 14A. VilloldoD
- 26Cesar NunesD
- 24G. GandolfoM
- 16I. MendezM
- 7F. MunozM
- 21L. PinoM
- 10M. AguileraF
- 9R. TarragonaF
Substitutes
- 1E. MarquezG
- 3J. DupontD
- 4M. MontielM
- 8F. CamardaF
- 15J. PouD
- 19S. SequeiraF
- 20J. DellarossaM
- 25A. MadrugaD
- 27F. SosaF
- 77E. MerelesF
G: goalkeeper · D: defender · M: midfielder · F: forward. Select a player to view their profile.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol: match review and analysis
Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol in Primera División on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 3–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Deportivo Maldonado recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Central Espanol recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses, with 12 scored and 16 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Maldonado | Central Espanol |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 7 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 5 |
| Goals scored | 16 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 16 |
| Over 1.5 games | 8 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Maldonado: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 1.66 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.72 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Central Espanol: (1.23 weighted goals scored + 0.46 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Maldonado recent form
1.60 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico TorquePrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| CerroCopa Uruguay | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Cerro LargoPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Defensor SportingPrimera División | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| WanderersCopa Uruguay | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| WanderersPrimera División | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| CerritoCopa Uruguay | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| JuventudPrimera División | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| PenarolPrimera División | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ProgresoPrimera División | Away | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Maldonado’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Central Espanol recent form
1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Atletico TorquePrimera División | Home | 1–4 | Lost | |
| OrientalCopa Uruguay | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Cerro LargoPrimera División | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Racing MontevideoCopa Uruguay | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Defensor SportingPrimera División | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| JuventudCopa Uruguay | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| WanderersPrimera División | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| JuventudPrimera División | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| PenarolPrimera División | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Central Espanol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera División — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportivo Maldonado are ranked 2 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 58 points from 31 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 8 in Primera: Tabla Anual, with 38 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 62 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 58 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Racing Montevideo | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 52 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 49 |
| 8 | Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 10 | Juventud | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Defensor Sporting | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 33 |
| 13 | Cerro | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 33 |
| 14 | Boston River | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Danubio | 31 | 5 | 14 | 12 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 29 |
| 16 | Progreso | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 27 | 46 | -19 | 28 |
Deportivo Maldonado are ranked 3 in Primera: Promedios, with 58 points from 31 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 10 in Primera: Promedios, with 38 points from 31 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 68 | 43 | 12 | 13 | 116 | 59 | 57 | 141 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 68 | 40 | 14 | 14 | 123 | 71 | 52 | 131 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 58 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 68 | 31 | 21 | 16 | 93 | 67 | 26 | 114 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 68 | 28 | 22 | 18 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 106 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 68 | 29 | 16 | 23 | 106 | 88 | 18 | 103 |
| 7 | Juventud | 68 | 27 | 17 | 24 | 80 | 78 | 2 | 98 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 68 | 26 | 18 | 24 | 70 | 74 | -4 | 96 |
| 9 | Boston River | 68 | 22 | 20 | 26 | 79 | 81 | -2 | 86 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 68 | 20 | 22 | 26 | 70 | 77 | -7 | 82 |
| 12 | Wanderers | 68 | 20 | 21 | 27 | 65 | 83 | -18 | 81 |
| 13 | Albion FC | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 37 |
| 14 | Cerro | 68 | 21 | 17 | 30 | 56 | 87 | -31 | 79 |
| 15 | Danubio | 68 | 15 | 27 | 26 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 72 |
| 16 | Progreso | 68 | 18 | 13 | 37 | 65 | 106 | -41 | 67 |
Deportivo Maldonado are ranked 3 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 12 points from 7 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 5 in Primera: Torneo Intermedio, with 9 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 16 |
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 |
Deportivo Maldonado are ranked 2 in Primera: Apertura, with 29 points from 15 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 5 in Primera: Apertura, with 24 points from 15 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 21 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 10 |
Deportivo Maldonado are ranked 4 in Primera: Clausura, with 17 points from 9 games.
Central Espanol are ranked 15 in Primera: Clausura, with 5 points from 9 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| 3 | Penarol | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Club Nacional | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Wanderers | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Juventud | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Cerro | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | Progreso | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Boston River | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Defensor Sporting | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 8 |
| 13 | Danubio | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 7 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Central Espanol | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 5 |
| 16 | Albion FC | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.