Primera B Metropolitana · Regular Season - 38
Deportivo Merlo0–0Brown DE Adrogue
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 5 October 2026
Match Finished
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawWon
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Primera B Metropolitana
- Venue
- Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 0–0
- 90-minute score
- 0–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
No goals in the latest saved events.
Cards
- 17′A. MinnicelliYellow CardDeportivo Merlo
- 66′L. FigueredoYellow CardDeportivo Merlo
- 73′B. LopezYellow CardBrown DE Adrogue
Events updated
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Lineups updated
Real Scored match analysis
Deportivo Merlo vs Brown DE Adrogue: match review and analysis
Deportivo Merlo vs Brown DE Adrogue in Primera B Metropolitana on 5 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 0–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Deportivo Merlo recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 4 and conceding 11. Brown DE Adrogue recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses, with 7 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Merlo | Brown DE Adrogue |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 4 | 7 |
| Goals conceded | 11 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Merlo: (0.51 weighted goals scored + 0.73 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.62 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Brown DE Adrogue: (0.65 weighted goals scored + 1.09 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Merlo recent form
0.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo ArmenioPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| FlandriaPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Argentino QuilmesPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Defensores UnidosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| ComunicacionesPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Dock SudPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| ItuzaingóPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Deportivo CamionerosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sportivo ItalianoPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| San Martín BurzacoPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Deportivo Merlo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Brown DE Adrogue recent form
0.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo CamionerosPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Sportivo ItalianoPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| San Martín BurzacoPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Villa San CarlosPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| LiniersPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Real PilarPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| UAI UrquizaPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Villa DalminePrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| ExcursionistasPrimera B Metropolitana | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Arsenal SarandiPrimera B Metropolitana | Away | 1–1 | Draw |
Scores shown from Brown DE Adrogue’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Primera B Metropolitana — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Deportivo Merlo are ranked 15 in Prim B Metro, with 44 points from 38 games.
Brown DE Adrogue are ranked 19 in Prim B Metro, with 39 points from 38 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excursionistas | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 30 | 29 | 74 |
| 2 | Arsenal Sarandi | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 69 |
| 3 | Talleres Remedios | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 67 |
| 4 | Sportivo Italiano | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | Villa Dalmine | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 64 |
| 6 | Deportivo Camioneros | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 63 |
| 7 | Real Pilar | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 61 |
| 8 | Deportivo Armenio | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 60 |
| 9 | Comunicaciones | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Deportivo Laferrere | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 51 |
| 11 | San Martín Burzaco | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 50 |
| 12 | Dock Sud | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 47 |
| 13 | Villa San Carlos | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
| 14 | Argentino de Merlo | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 44 |
| 15 | Deportivo Merlo | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 44 |
| 16 | Argentino Quilmes | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 43 |
| 17 | Liniers | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 43 |
| 18 | Defensores Unidos | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 41 |
| 19 | Brown DE Adrogue | 38 | 8 | 15 | 15 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 39 |
| 20 | Flandria | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 39 |
| 21 | UAI Urquiza | 38 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 35 |
| 22 | Ituzaingó | 38 | 1 | 12 | 25 | 25 | 62 | -37 | 15 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.