Torneo Federal A · Round of 32
Deportivo RinconvsKimberley Mar del Plata
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or drawBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Torneo Federal A
- Venue
- Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata: match review and analysis
Deportivo Rincon vs Kimberley Mar del Plata in Torneo Federal A on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or draw.
Deportivo Rincon recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 5. Kimberley Mar del Plata recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses, with 11 scored and 8 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Rincon | Kimberley Mar del Plata |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 11 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 8 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Rincon: (1.25 weighted goals scored + 0.69 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Kimberley Mar del Plata: (1.01 weighted goals scored + 0.45 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.73 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the home side avoiding defeat. A home win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Deportivo Rincon recent form
1.20 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per game. 4 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SantamarinaTorneo Federal A | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Fundacion AmigosTorneo Federal A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Costa BravaTorneo Federal A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Germinal de RawsonTorneo Federal A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Juventud Unida Univ.Torneo Federal A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| San Martín MendozaTorneo Federal A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Circulo DeportivoTorneo Federal A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Sol de MayoTorneo Federal A | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Guillermo BrownTorneo Federal A | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Costa BravaTorneo Federal A | Away | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Deportivo Rincon’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Kimberley Mar del Plata recent form
1.10 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villa MitreTorneo Federal A | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Huracan Las HerasTorneo Federal A | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Juventud AntonianaTorneo Federal A | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| AlvaradoTorneo Federal A | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Olimpo Bahia BlancaTorneo Federal A | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| CipollettiTorneo Federal A | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| AtenasTorneo Federal A | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Argentino Monte MaízTorneo Federal A | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Circulo DeportivoTorneo Federal A | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Sol de MayoTorneo Federal A | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Kimberley Mar del Plata’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Torneo Federal A — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Kimberley Mar del Plata are ranked 8 in Regular Season, with 26 points from 16 games.
Deportivo Rincon are ranked 22 in Regular Season, with 19 points from 16 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 31 |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 30 |
| 4 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 30 |
| 5 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 27 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 27 |
| 7 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
| 8 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 26 |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 26 |
| 10 | Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 26 |
| 11 | Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 25 |
| 13 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 25 |
| 14 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 25 |
| 15 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 24 |
| 16 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 23 |
| 17 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
| 18 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 23 |
| 19 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 23 |
| 20 | Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 22 |
| 21 | Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
| 22 | Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 19 |
| 23 | San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 19 |
| 24 | Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 19 |
| 25 | Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
| 26 | El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 19 |
| 27 | Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 28 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 29 | Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 18 |
| 30 | Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 18 |
| 31 | Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 17 |
| 32 | Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
| 33 | Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 17 |
| 34 | Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 17 |
| 35 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 15 |
| 36 | Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 13 |
| 37 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 13 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.