Nacional B · Round of 16
Deportivo TigresvsPrimero Mayo
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 11 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Nacional B
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Deportivo Tigres vs Primero Mayo: match review and analysis
Deportivo Tigres vs Primero Mayo in Nacional B on 11 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Deportivo Tigres recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Primero Mayo recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 15 scored and 14 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Deportivo Tigres | Primero Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 6 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 15 |
| Goals conceded | 5 | 14 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 9 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Deportivo Tigres: (1.38 weighted goals scored + 1.62 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.50 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Primero Mayo: (1.43 weighted goals scored + 0.85 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.14 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
Deportivo Tigres recent form
1.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. 4 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD IN San Juan FCNacional B | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Club UniversitarioNacional B | Away | 4–0 | Won | |
| Universitario TarijaNacional B | Away | 3–1 | Won | |
| Club UniversitarioNacional B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Universitario TarijaNacional B | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| CD IN San Juan FCNacional B | Away | 0–1 | Lost |
Scores shown from Deportivo Tigres’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Primero Mayo recent form
1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad Nueva Santa CruzNacional B | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| CD GuadalajaraNacional B | Home | 2–0 | Won | |
| Unión TarijaNacional B | Away | 0–4 | Lost | |
| CD GuadalajaraNacional B | Away | 2–1 | Won | |
| Unión TarijaNacional B | Home | 3–1 | Won | |
| Ciudad Nueva Santa CruzNacional B | Away | 3–2 | Won | |
| Real PotosíNacional B | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Real PotosíNacional B | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Municipal TiquipayaNacional B | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Municipal TiquipayaNacional B | Home | 2–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Primero Mayo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Nacional B — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Primero Mayo are ranked 1 in Nacional B, with 12 points from 6 games.
Deportivo Tigres are ranked 2 in Nacional B, with 8 points from 6 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EM Huanuni | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 14 |
| 1 | 26 de Febrero | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 15 |
| 1 | Independiente CBBA | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 15 |
| 1 | Virginia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 14 |
| 1 | CD IN San Juan FC | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 13 |
| 1 | Primero Mayo | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
| 1 | Wilstermann Cooperativa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Deportivo FATIC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Chaco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Mineros Potosi | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 10 |
| 2 | Municipal Tiquipaya | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 11 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tigres | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Atletico Sucre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico Sucre | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 3 | Hiska Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
| 3 | Wilstermann Cooperativa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | San Martin de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 3 | Club Universitario | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 3 | Unión Tarija | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Unión Tarija | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Ingenieros | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 4 |
| 4 | Atletico Juniors | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 26 | -21 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario Beni | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
| 4 | Universitario Tarija | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 4 |
| 4 | CD Guadalajara | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 2 |
| 4 | San Martin de Yacuiba | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| 5 | Club Universitario | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Hiska Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 7 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.