Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 10
Devnya 2005vsLudogorets III
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawBased on 8 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III: match review and analysis
Devnya 2005 vs Ludogorets III in Third League - Northeast on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Devnya 2005 recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 8 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 14. Ludogorets III recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, with 24 scored and 7 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Devnya 2005 | Ludogorets III |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 10 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 24 |
| Goals conceded | 14 | 7 |
| Over 1.5 games | 6 | 7 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Devnya 2005: (1.27 weighted goals scored + 0.59 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.93 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ludogorets III: (2.13 weighted goals scored + 1.61 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.87 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 8 GAMES
Devnya 2005 recent form
1.13 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. 6 of 8 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri DragoevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Devnya 2005’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 8 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ludogorets III recent form
2.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 3–0 | Won | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Home | 5–1 | Won | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Home | 6–1 | Won | |
| Cherno more IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Home | 3–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Ludogorets III’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Ludogorets III are ranked 1 in Northeast, with 19 points from 8 games.
Devnya 2005 are ranked 9 in Northeast, with 10 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets 1919 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Cherno more II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.