Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 8
Devnya 20052–1Ustrem Donchevo
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 3 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsWon
Based on 6 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 2–1
- 90-minute score
- 2–1
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo: match review and analysis
Devnya 2005 vs Ustrem Donchevo in Third League - Northeast on 3 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 2–1. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Devnya 2005 recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses in the 6 games used here, scoring 5 and conceding 13. Ustrem Donchevo recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses, with 19 scored and 31 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Devnya 2005 | Ustrem Donchevo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 10 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals scored | 5 | 19 |
| Goals conceded | 13 | 31 |
| Over 1.5 games | 4 | 10 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Devnya 2005: (0.90 weighted goals scored + 3.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 2.01 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Ustrem Donchevo: (1.78 weighted goals scored + 2.13 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.96 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 6 GAMES
Devnya 2005 recent form
0.83 goals scored and 2.17 conceded per game. 4 of 6 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| DorostolThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–5 | Lost | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–0 | Won |
Scores shown from Devnya 2005’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 6 usable previous results were available.
LAST 10 GAMES
Ustrem Donchevo recent form
1.90 goals scored and 3.10 conceded per game. 10 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 2–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Botev Novi PazarThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–2 | Won | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–3 | Lost |
Scores shown from Ustrem Donchevo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Devnya 2005 are ranked 12 in Northeast, with 7 points from 7 games.
Ustrem Donchevo are ranked 16 in Northeast, with 1 points from 8 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 6 | 18 | 16 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 16 |
| 3 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Chernolomets 1919 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 14 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 7 | Septemvri Tervel | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Cherno more II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
| 11 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Devnya 2005 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 14 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.