League One · Regular Season - 10
DoncastervsBurton Albion
Real Scored · Match preview
Match prediction · 10 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Home or awayBased on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Keepmoat Stadium
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
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Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Doncaster vs Burton Albion: match review and analysis
Doncaster vs Burton Albion in League One on 10 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Home or away.
Doncaster recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Burton Albion recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses, with 14 scored and 15 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Doncaster | Burton Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 3 |
| Goals scored | 11 | 14 |
| Goals conceded | 15 | 15 |
| Over 1.5 games | 7 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Doncaster: (1.11 weighted goals scored + 1.33 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.22 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Burton Albion: (1.10 weighted goals scored + 1.41 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.26 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours a decisive result. Either side winning satisfies this selection; a draw does not. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Doncaster recent form
1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 7 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool U21EFL Trophy | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| PeterboroughLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| AFC WimbledonLeague One | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| HuddersfieldEFL Trophy | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PlymouthLeague One | Home | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Notts CountyLeague One | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| StevenageLeague One | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| MiddlesbroughLeague Cup | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| BarnsleyLeague One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Mansfield TownLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Doncaster’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Burton Albion recent form
1.40 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. 8 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GrimsbyEFL Trophy | Away | 0–0 | Draw | |
| HuddersfieldLeague One | Home | 1–3 | Lost | |
| PlymouthLeague One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nottingham Forest U21EFL Trophy | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Mansfield TownLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Oxford UnitedLeague One | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Cambridge UnitedLeague One | Home | 2–2 | Draw | |
| AFC WimbledonLeague One | Home | 4–1 | Won | |
| Notts CountyLeague One | Away | 1–2 | Lost | |
| LeicesterLeague One | Away | 2–1 | Won |
Scores shown from Burton Albion’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Burton Albion are ranked 8 in League One, with 12 points from 9 games.
Doncaster are ranked 21 in League One, with 6 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 2 | Bradford | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 16 |
| 3 | Huddersfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 13 |
| 6 | Cambridge United | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Reading | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 8 | Burton Albion | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 10 | Oxford United | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 4 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.