League One · Regular Season - 25
Dongguan United1–0Guangxi Hengchen
Real Scored · Match result
Match prediction · 7 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Away or drawLost
Based on 10 previous home-team games and 10 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- League One
- Venue
- Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center
- Status
- Match Finished
- Score
- 1–0
- 90-minute score
- 1–0
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
Match events are not yet available.
Cards
Match events are not yet available.
Lineups
Lineups have not been supplied yet. Confirmed selections appear here when available.
Real Scored match analysis
Dongguan United vs Guangxi Hengchen: match review and analysis
Dongguan United vs Guangxi Hengchen in League One on 7 October 2026 has finished at full time. The match goal score was 1–0. Review the team form and league context below.
Real Scored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Away or draw.
Dongguan United recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 9 and conceding 22. Guangxi Hengchen recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 18 scored and 13 conceded across 10 games.
| Statistic | Dongguan United | Guangxi Hengchen |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 10 |
| Wins | 0 | 6 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
| Goals scored | 9 | 18 |
| Goals conceded | 22 | 13 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 6 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dongguan United: (0.86 weighted goals scored + 0.92 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 0.89 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Guangxi Hengchen: (1.56 weighted goals scored + 2.02 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.79 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The model favours the away side avoiding defeat. An away win or a draw satisfies this selection. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dongguan United recent form
0.90 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heilongjiang Lava SpringLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Suzhou DongwuLeague One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Dalian HuayiLeague One | Home | 0–0 | Draw | |
| Shenzhen JuniorsLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Changchun YataiLeague One | Away | 0–6 | Lost | |
| Hebei KungfuLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Meizhou KejiaLeague One | Away | 2–3 | Lost | |
| Guangzhou E-PowerLeague One | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Wuxi WugouLeague One | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Nantong ZhiyunLeague One | Home | 1–2 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dongguan United’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 10 GAMES
Guangxi Hengchen recent form
1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. 6 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuxi WugouLeague One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Nantong ZhiyunLeague One | Away | 1–0 | Won | |
| Yanbian LongdingLeague One | Home | 2–1 | Won | |
| Hebei KungfuLeague One | Home | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Nanjing CityLeague One | Away | 2–0 | Won | |
| Suzhou DongwuLeague One | Home | 3–3 | Draw | |
| Meizhou KejiaLeague One | Home | 1–0 | Won | |
| Guangzhou E-PowerLeague One | Away | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Ningbo ProfessionalLeague One | Away | 4–2 | Won | |
| Heilongjiang Lava SpringLeague One | Home | 4–4 | Draw |
Scores shown from Guangxi Hengchen’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
League One — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Guangxi Hengchen are ranked 2 in League One, with 45 points from 25 games.
Dongguan United are ranked 16 in League One, with 16 points from 25 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guangzhou E-Power | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 52 | 21 | 31 | 57 |
| 2 | Guangxi Hengchen | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 45 |
| 3 | Nantong Zhiyun | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 45 |
| 4 | Shenzhen Juniors | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 44 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 39 |
| 6 | Yanbian Longding | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Hebei Kungfu | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Ningbo Professional | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
| 11 | Dalian Huayi | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 27 |
| 13 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 25 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 24 |
| 14 | Nanjing City | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 16 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 16 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.