Third League - Northeast · Northeast - 10
DorostolvsSeptemvri Dragoevo
RealScored · Match preview
Match prediction · 17 October 2026
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THE PREDICTION
Our match outlook
Over 1.5 goalsBased on 10 previous home-team games and 8 previous away-team games. Small samples provide less evidence.
Prediction saved
Match information
- Competition
- Third League - Northeast
- Venue
- To be confirmed
- Status
- Not Started
- Score
- Not started
- 90-minute score
- —
- Last updated
Goals and cards
Goals
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Cards
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Lineups
Lineups are not available yet. Confirmed selections will appear here when available.
RealScored match analysis
Dorostol vs Septemvri Dragoevo: match review and analysis
Dorostol vs Septemvri Dragoevo in Third League - Northeast on 17 October 2026. Compare recent results, goal trends and league positions in this match preview.
RealScored brings together the match information, available team results and current standings below. The saved pre-match selection is Over 1.5 goals.
Dorostol recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses in the 10 games used here, scoring 12 and conceding 28. Septemvri Dragoevo recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses, with 12 scored and 19 conceded across 8 games.
| Statistic | Dorostol | Septemvri Dragoevo |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 10 | 8 |
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 4 |
| Goals scored | 12 | 12 |
| Goals conceded | 28 | 19 |
| Over 1.5 games | 9 | 8 |
Why this selection?
The calculation combines each team’s recent attacking record with the opposing defence. Newer games receive more weight, and results at the same home or away venue receive extra weight.
Dorostol: (1.21 weighted goals scored + 2.49 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.85 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
Septemvri Dragoevo: (1.15 weighted goals scored + 2.79 opponent goals conceded) ÷ 2 gives 1.97 model goals, after bounding the estimate between 0.05 and 6.
The combined scoring outlook makes at least two total goals the strongest of the four options compared. Either team can score those goals. It ranked highest when comparing the three double-chance options with Over 1.5 using a Poisson goal model.
Model goals are estimates from past scores, not shot-based expected goals. These form records were saved with the prediction before kickoff. League position is context below and is not an input to this goal model. Injuries, lineups and odds are not included.
Recent results and goal trends
LAST 10 GAMES
Dorostol recent form
1.20 goals scored and 2.80 conceded per game. 9 of 10 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ustrem DonchevoThird League - Northeast | Away | 3–4 | Lost | |
| Fratria IIThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–2 | Lost | |
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Away | 2–2 | Draw | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–5 | Lost | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Home | 0–3 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–1 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Home | 0–4 | Lost | |
| Chernolomets 1919Third League - Northeast | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Svetkavitsa TargovishteThird League - Northeast | Home | 3–0 | Won | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Away | 2–4 | Lost |
Scores shown from Dorostol’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded.
LAST 8 GAMES
Septemvri Dragoevo recent form
1.50 goals scored and 2.38 conceded per game. 8 of 8 games finished with at least two goals.
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devnya 2005Third League - Northeast | Home | 0–2 | Lost | |
| Septemvri TervelThird League - Northeast | Away | 0–3 | Lost | |
| Benkovski IsperihThird League - Northeast | Home | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Volov ShumenThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| RiltziThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–2 | Won | |
| Svetkavitsa 14Third League - Northeast | Away | 1–1 | Draw | |
| Olympic VarnaThird League - Northeast | Away | 1–4 | Lost | |
| AksakovoThird League - Northeast | Home | 4–2 | Won |
Scores shown from Septemvri Dragoevo’s perspective. Extra time and shootouts are excluded. Only 8 usable previous results were available.
LEAGUE CONTEXT
Third League - Northeast — current table
Season 2026 · Latest stored table, updated . Refresh delayed; showing the last available table. This table may include games played after this prediction was made.
Septemvri Dragoevo are ranked 13 in Northeast, with 8 points from 8 games.
Dorostol are ranked 17 in Northeast, with 1 points from 7 games.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets III | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 5 | 16 | 19 |
| 2 | Chernolomets 1919 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 17 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Balchik | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 16 |
| 5 | Svetkavitsa 14 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 16 |
| 6 | Benkovski Isperih | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Cherno more II | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Septemvri Tervel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 11 |
| 9 | Devnya 2005 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Riltzi | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 11 | Botev Novi Pazar | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
| 12 | Olympic Varna | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 9 |
| 13 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 | Aksakovo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Fratria II | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 24 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 1 |
P: played · W: wins · D: draws · L: losses · GF/GA: goals for/against · GD: goal difference · Pts: points. Highlighted rows identify this match’s teams.
About this prediction
We compare each team’s recent goals scored and conceded, giving more weight to recent games and the same home or away venue. A goal model then chooses double chance or Over 1.5 goals. Predictions can change before kickoff and are not guaranteed results. Live scores refresh every 5 seconds.